FAMILIAR PEOPLE MIGHT RETURN TO POWER IN TURKEY

Armenia is interested in success of Ismail Cem’s party at the coming election.

It is difficult to speak about the terms of the recommencement of the Yerevan- Ankara dialog these days. Armenia foreign minister Vardan Oskanian has not taken the risk of sharing the prognosis regarding the perspective of the establishment of contacts with the new head of the Turkish foreign ministry Sukru Sina Gurel. Now it is obvious that there is no point in getting a move on with the contacts with Gurel. The new minister is a temporary person. He might not be in the next cabinet.
PanARMENIAN.Net - In all probability, the Armenia-Turkish dialog will be frozen until special parliamentary election that will take place in Turkey November 3. They in Yerevan hope people known for their striving for common language will come to power again. The return to the government of the retired foreign minister Ismail Cem is quite real. If his party achieves success at the coming election, Cem will have enough chances to be entrusted to form the cabinet by president Sezer. As a head of the government, Ismail Cem will be able to guarantee the succession of the policy of the current Premier, who yielded to pressure and agreed to resign.


Bulent Ecevit is leaving. But he has not sent in his resignation. The premier has scheduled special election. The difference is minor at first sight. Resignation that some coalition partners insisted on would mean real transfer of the power to the vice-premier, leader of the national action party Dovlet Bakhcheli, the chief initiator of Ecevit’s removal. With scheduling new election, the Premier has done his best in order to prevent coming of his partners, who “handed him over”. Accepting the inevitability of his political demise, 78-year-old head of the government has decided also to “ruin” his ex-partners trying to make a career on his infirmity.

Government head’s adherence to principle should not be explained with usual revenge. Retribution for betrayal ranks the second when the matter concerns the global threat of change of foreign policy priorities. Ecevit, loyal to his striving for leading Turkey to the European Union, is extremely concerned with populist tricks of Dovlet Bakhcheli that is able to take steps threatening the perspective of Turkey’s integration into European structures to win the sympathy of usual people. The leader of the nationalists likes getting applause of crowd for promises to sent the Europeans away if they keep on setting conditions for Ankara.

Pragmatic Turks realize nationalists’ coming to the rule would mean actual end of Western credits, that are the only way to avoid the collapse of the Turkish economy at present. This circumstance gives the opportunity to hope that the coming election would not bring to any surprises and the forces paying attention to advice of the West and consequently receptive to arguments stating there is no alternative to the development of the dialog with Armenia will consolidate in the neighboring country.
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