The wave of revolutions in Arab states has engulfed Azerbaijan, activating those dissatisfied with the country’s ruling regime.

Specifically, a mass rally was scheduled for March 11, with appeals to participate circulated throughout the web. Azeri authorities, concerned over the recent trend, decided to undertake preventive measures, resorting to arrests of youth activists. Over the last month, 3 activists were arrested, with 2 more detained by March 10.

Moreover, according to earlier reports of Yeni Musavat newspaper, Azerbaijani forces are gathering in Baku, which is explained by the local authorities’ serious concern over the possibility of riots. Recently, Baku servicemen were not allowed leaves of absence.

Ironically enough, some in Azerbaijan accuse .. Armenia of triggering protest rallies. The executive secretary of Yeni Azerbaijan ruling party Ali Ahmedov urged Azerbaijani youth against “yielding to Armenia-supported appeals to participate in anti-governmental rallies.”

The situation leads to one of two conclusions: either Azerbaijan cannot embrace the reality, and Aliyev will start a war in Karabakh to save face; or the country is looking for an additional reason to unleash a war. Whichever reason it is, the war will clearly be lost by Azerbaijani army which, while lacking fighting capacity, sets its hopes for huge quantities of weapon purchased and manufactured. Still, there’s one thing Baku’s forgetting: weapon is a mere metal without an efficient army.